Dec 01, 2017 | 15:00—16:30
In this talk we will discuss the catalytic network model that Jain and Krishna introduced in 1998 as a toy-model of evolution. This model exhibits cycles of growth, organisation and collapse. After pointing out that it is much more generic than expected, we will exhibit some of the interesting questions that pop out of its rich structure: Can one anticipate the length of the organised phase or predict the time and strength of a collapse? To this end we will make a short excursion to the statistics of binary threshold tests and then tackle some questions regarding the prediction of catastrophic events in this model.