Dirk Brockmann will present an online talk within the seminar “Analysis of Complex Systems” on Friday, December 18, 2020 via Zoom.
If you would like to attend, please email office@csh.ac.at
Title:
“Understanding the Covid-19-Pandemic—Math, Models, Mobility and Taking a Nation’s Temperature”
Abstract:
I will give a summary on and provide insights to scientific activities we designed and are still engaged into understand the dynamics of the ongoing COVID-19-pandemic. These activities include
- the application of computational models that we used to predict the global dissemination of the virus during the early phase
of the pandemic, - the discovery of universal sub-exponential growth regimes in the first epidemic wave in China and other countries and a theoretical model that explains these observations by accounting for systematic behavioral changes in the population,
- a nationwide high-resolution mobility monitor that we developed in Germany, that quantifies how much and in what way mobility was affected during lockdown periods, and
- a participatory experiment that we launched in March 2020 that involves >500,000 participants that donate resting heart rate, physical activity and sleep data by means of their smartwatches and based on which we designed and implemented a national fever thermometer to detect and predict the time course of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Germany and that is now used as an important surveillance data stream for the federal COVID-19 situation analysis.
About Dirk Brockmann:
Prof. Dirk Brockmann is a pioneer in the scientific use of Big Data and epidemiological modelling.
He has his own lab, the “Brockmann Lab,” at the Institute for Theoretical Biology / Humboldt University, in Berlin in cooperation with the Robert Koch Institute (RKI).
At the RKI, Dirk Brockmann leads the project group “Computational Epidemiology.”