An analysis of the economic ties between Ukraine, Russia, and the EU


Mar 28, 2022

The Ukrainian economy has literally been moving West, shows CSH analysis

 

Frank Neffke, our expert on economic transformation and growth, investigated changes in Ukraine’s economy throughout the years and its ties with other countries.

 

Frank, who leads the research field Science of Cities at the Hub, approached his former collegues at Harvard Growth Lab to use a worldwide dataset for an in-depth analysis of the Ukrainian economy.

 

The dataset, owned by the Growth Lab, includes spatial, ownership and industry information of over 200 million economic establishments worldwide and is powering the impressive tool Metroverse that Frank developed with a team while he was Growth Lab research director.

 

“These data allow us to study the economic makeup of cities not just in one country, but across different nations”, explains Frank. “As we know what each city does, and also where investment flows between cities at a global scale, we can see the effects of the war in Ukraine on the economies in the West,” he adds.

 

Together with Matté Hartog and Yang Li, Growth Labresearch fellows, Frank produced a couple of interactive figures and tables highlighting 12 facts about “The Economic Geography of the War in Ukraine.”

 

Here are some insights:

 

Ukraine goes West

 

In the past decade, Ukraine shifted away from Russia and started embracing Europe. The European Union is now its largest trading partner, accounting for over 40 percent of its annual exports – in comparison, just 7 percent of Ukrainian exports go to Russia. In its shift towards the West, Ukraine expanded its presence in supply chains serving European manufacturing hubs and also benefited from growing foreign investment. Germany, for instance, is an important investor in Ukraine.

 

Impact on foreign investment

 

Western companies with investments in Ukraine and Russia won’t face huge losses, but the exposure is unevenly distributed across countries. And supply-chain related investments are even more concentrated in a few countries and regions: the impact of the war will be mostly felt in Europe – with the largest losses affecting in the South of Germany, Paris, Southern Finland and Northern Italy – and some other neighbors of Russia in Asia, such as Japan. Moreover, in per capita terms, a number of smaller eastern and central European countries are disproportionately hit, such as Austria, Switzerland, Estonia, Lithuania and Slovakia.

 

Ressources

 

The findings can be retrieved via an interactive page https://vis.csh.ac.at/12-facts-ukraine-rus-eu/ – designed by our vis expert Liuhuaying Yang.

 

It was also published as a CSH–Harvard Growth Lab Policy Brief (in pdf format).

 

Press Releases:

 

GO WEST – Die ukrainische Wirtschaft hat sich in den letzten Jahren zunehmend nach Westen orientiert, zeigt die Analyse eines riesigen Datensatzes

 

Forscher des Harvard Growth Lab und des Complexity Science Hub analysieren die Ursachen und wirtschaftlichen Störungen des Ukraine-Kriegs

 

Harvard’s Growth Lab and the Complexity Science Hub researchers analyze origins/economic disruption of Ukraine War

 

 


Publication

V.D.P. Servedio, M. R. Ferreira, N. Reisz, R. Costas, S. Thurner

Scale-free growth in regional scientific capacity building explains long-term scientific dominance

Chaos, Solitons & Fractals 167 (2023) 113020

Press

Staatsanwälte jagen mit Datenforschern Cyberkriminelle [feat.Bernhard Haslhofer]


Salzburger Nachrichten, Jan 27, 2023

Press

Studie: Berlin könnte erheblichen Teil seines Gemüsebedarfs [feat.Diego Rybski]


Stern, Jan 27, 2023

Event

Workshop für Journalist:innen: "Put a Piece of Science in your Story"


Mar 03, 2023 | 15:0017:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Publication

W. Schueller, J. Wachs, V. D. P. Servedio, S. Thurner, V. Loreto

Evolving collaboration, dependencies, and use in the Rust Open Source Software ecosystem

Scientific Data 9 (2022) 703

News

Feb 2, 2023

Cybercrime is increasing rapidly, new methods are ready

Research News

Jan 24, 2023

Berlin could produce more than 80% of its fresh vegetables locally

Event

CSH Talk by José Moran: "Dynamics of (auto)correlated firms"


Feb 24, 2023 | 15:0016:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Publication

N. Pontika, T. Klebel, A. Correia, H. Metzler, P. Knoth, T. Ross-Hellauer

Indicators of research quality, quantity, openness and responsibility in institutional review, promotion and tenure policies across seven countries

Quantitative Science Studies 1-49

Spotlight

Jan 20, 2023

CSH-STATEMENT | New methods for investigating child pornography

Event

CSH Talk by Ambra Amico: "Structure and resilience of large-scale distribution networks: a complex system perspective to supply-chains"


Mar 03, 2023 | 15:0016:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Press

Warum in der Welt doch Chaos herrscht [feat.J.Doyne Farmer]


Wiener Zeitung, Jan 28, 2023

Publication

V.D.P. Servedio, M. R. Ferreira, N. Reisz, R. Costas, S. Thurner

Scale-free growth in regional scientific capacity building explains long-term scientific dominance

Chaos, Solitons & Fractals 167 (2023) 113020

Press

Staatsanwälte jagen mit Datenforschern Cyberkriminelle [feat.Bernhard Haslhofer]


Salzburger Nachrichten, Jan 27, 2023

Press

Studie: Berlin könnte erheblichen Teil seines Gemüsebedarfs [feat.Diego Rybski]


Stern, Jan 27, 2023

Event

Workshop für Journalist:innen: "Put a Piece of Science in your Story"


Mar 03, 2023 | 15:0017:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Publication

W. Schueller, J. Wachs, V. D. P. Servedio, S. Thurner, V. Loreto

Evolving collaboration, dependencies, and use in the Rust Open Source Software ecosystem

Scientific Data 9 (2022) 703

News

Feb 2, 2023

Cybercrime is increasing rapidly, new methods are ready

Research News

Jan 24, 2023

Berlin could produce more than 80% of its fresh vegetables locally

Event

CSH Talk by José Moran: "Dynamics of (auto)correlated firms"


Feb 24, 2023 | 15:0016:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Publication

N. Pontika, T. Klebel, A. Correia, H. Metzler, P. Knoth, T. Ross-Hellauer

Indicators of research quality, quantity, openness and responsibility in institutional review, promotion and tenure policies across seven countries

Quantitative Science Studies 1-49

Spotlight

Jan 20, 2023

CSH-STATEMENT | New methods for investigating child pornography

Event

CSH Talk by Ambra Amico: "Structure and resilience of large-scale distribution networks: a complex system perspective to supply-chains"


Mar 03, 2023 | 15:0016:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Press

Warum in der Welt doch Chaos herrscht [feat.J.Doyne Farmer]


Wiener Zeitung, Jan 28, 2023

News

Feb 2, 2023

Cybercrime is increasing rapidly, new methods are ready

Research News

Jan 24, 2023

Berlin could produce more than 80% of its fresh vegetables locally

Spotlight

Jan 20, 2023

CSH-STATEMENT | New methods for investigating child pornography

Research News

Jan 23, 2023

Predicting human group sizes with physics

Research News

Jan 19, 2023

Simply explained: Decentralized Finance, Blockchains and smart contracts

News

Jan 16, 2023

CSH Winter School is off to a great start

Spotlight

Jan 11, 2023

Explore the world's supply chains

Research News

Jan 3, 2023

Diabetes mellitus: Women are at higher risk of venous thromboembolism than men

Research News

Dec 28, 2022

NO CRITICAL MASS OF SCIENTISTS: TRY TO BE A PIONEER

Research News

Dec 19, 2022

Of mice and men

Research News

Dec 14, 2022

Tweets can prevent suicides

Press

Algorithmen lernen zu diskriminieren [feat. Fariba Karimi]


Die Presse, Jan 28, 2023

Press

Warum in der Welt doch Chaos herrscht [feat.J.Doyne Farmer]


Wiener Zeitung, Jan 28, 2023

Press

Studie: Berlin könnte erheblichen Teil seines Gemüsebedarfs [feat.Diego Rybski]


Stern, Jan 27, 2023

Press

Staatsanwälte jagen mit Datenforschern Cyberkriminelle [feat.Bernhard Haslhofer]


Salzburger Nachrichten, Jan 27, 2023

Press

Totes Netz [feat.Christian Diem]


Ö1 Dimensionen, Jan 24, 2023

Press

Arzneimittelengpass in Österreich [feat.Peter Klimek]


Ö1 / Morgenjournal, Jan 24, 2023

Press

Stoppt den Kindesmissbrauch [feat.Bernhard Haslhofer]


ORF 2 / Thema, Jan 24, 2023

Press

Menschen verhalten sich wie Teilchen mit Spin [feat.Stefan Thurner, Jan Korbel]


APA-Science, Jan 23, 2023

Press

Wie der Kreml geflohene Russen drangsaliert [feat.Johannes Wachs]


Handelsblatt, Jan 20, 2023

Press

So machen wir den Markt kaputt [feat.Stefan Thurner]


Die Presse, Jan 8, 2023

Publication

V.D.P. Servedio, M. R. Ferreira, N. Reisz, R. Costas, S. Thurner

Scale-free growth in regional scientific capacity building explains long-term scientific dominance

Chaos, Solitons & Fractals 167 (2023) 113020

Publication

M. Leutner, M. Butylina, C. Matzhold, et al.

Simvastatin therapy in higher dosages deteriorates bone quality: Consistent evidence from population-wide patient data and interventional mouse studies

Biomedicine & Pharmacotherapy 158 (2023) 114089

Publication

W. Schueller, J. Wachs, V. D. P. Servedio, S. Thurner, V. Loreto

Evolving collaboration, dependencies, and use in the Rust Open Source Software ecosystem

Scientific Data 9 (2022) 703

Publication

N. Pontika, T. Klebel, A. Correia, H. Metzler, P. Knoth, T. Ross-Hellauer

Indicators of research quality, quantity, openness and responsibility in institutional review, promotion and tenure policies across seven countries

Quantitative Science Studies 1-49

Publication

H. Kong, S. Martin-Gutierrez, F. Karimi

Influence of the first-mover advantage on the gender disparities in physics citations

Communications Physics 5 (243) (2022)

Publication

A. Pichler, M. Pangallo, M. del Rio-Chanona, F. Lafond, D. Farmer

Forecasting the propagation of pandemic shocks with a dynamic input-output model

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2022) 104527

Publication

J. Lasser, S. Taofeek Aroyehun, et al.

Social media sharing of low quality news sources by political elites

PNAS Nexus (2022) pgac186

Publication

R. Prieto Curiel, A. Schumann, I. Heo, P. Heinrigs

Detecting cities with high intermediacy in the African urban network

Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 98 (2022) 101869

Publication

T. Reisch, G. Heiler, C. Diem, P. Klimek, S. Thurner

Monitoring supply networks from mobile phone data for estimating the systemic risk of an economy

Scientific Reports 12 (13347) (2022)

Publication

G. De Marzo, F. Pandolfelli, V.D.P. Servedio

Modeling innovation in the cryptocurrency ecosystem

Scientific Reports 12 (12942) (2022)

Publication

A. Nerpel, et al.

SARS-ANI: a global open access dataset of reported SARS-CoV-2 events in animals

Scientific Data 9 (438) (2022)

Publication

M. Kaleta, J. Lasser, E. Dervic, et al.

Stress-testing the resilience of the Austrian healthcare system using agent-based simulation

Nature Communications 13 (4259) (2022)

Event

CSH Talk by José Moran: "Dynamics of (auto)correlated firms"


Feb 24, 2023 | 15:0016:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Event

Workshop für Journalist:innen: "Put a Piece of Science in your Story"


Mar 03, 2023 | 15:0017:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Event

CSH Talk by Ambra Amico: "Structure and resilience of large-scale distribution networks: a complex system perspective to supply-chains"


Mar 03, 2023 | 15:0016:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Event

CSH Talk by Gašper Tkačik: "Statistical analysis and optimality of biological systems"


Feb 17, 2023 | 14:0015:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Event

CSH Talk by Nicolò Vallarano:"An Agent-based model of Ethereum Proof-of-Stake consensus"


Feb 10, 2023 | 15:0016:00

Complexity Science Hub Vienna

Event

CSH Workshop: "Monitoring Social Stress: a data-driven approach to understanding 'polycrisis”


Feb 07, 2023Feb 08, 2023

Complexity Science Hub Vienna